Archive for April, 2011

April 26, 2011

A little bit of UFO debunking

by Colm

Just before our last Cork Skeptics meeting, a good friend of mine showed me the following photograph, apparently taken by astronauts aboard the Space Shuttle mission STS-37 in 1991. It purports to show a circular orb near the Earth’s horizon. I thought it might be the Moon, but it looked odd. I didn’t pass much comment on it at the time, but I decided to look into it a bit later, to see what I could find.

Upon beginning my research, I quickly discovered photos of a similar anomaly on a completely different shuttle mission, this time in a picture taken during an STS 51A space walk in 1984. The strange object here is the one at the top right hand of the picture (the large object, with an astronaut hanging off it at the bottom, is a satellite).

So, what was going on?

Discovering a rational explanation for photos such as this can be hard work. No matter what you type into Google - “UFO debunking”, “UFO explained” or “UFO skeptic” - the results invariably return pages upon pages of UFO believer websites.

Eventually, I discovered a discussion about it on a forum at Randi.org. The whole phenomenon quickly fell into place.

First of all, there is a video of the STS-51A mission shown below. If you play the video from the 10 minute 30 second point, you will see it soon afterwards.

Just a water droplet. Interestingly, not even noted by the editors of the video as anything particularly remarkable.

There is also a video of the first encounter from STS-37.

Just before the object arrives around the 25 second mark, there is a distinct camera movement. The phenomenon is clearly associated with something inside the spacecraft, and not outside it.

Again, it’s just a water droplet on the window as the field of view is adjusted. Note that the upside down refractions are entirely consistent with what you would expect from a droplet.

What this little example shows is how true believers and sceptics differ in their approaches. A sceptic, when presented with a “evidence” of an interesting oddity, will first try to identify natural or simple explanations that might account for the anomaly. A true believer wants to immediately accept the anomaly as cast-iron evidence of alien spacecraft and if challenged on it, will attempt to prove why a more obvious explanation won’t work. It can be quite entertaining watching how they do this and what rationalisations are provided. The arguments, inevitably, are not about strange spacecraft and alien intelligences, but about mundane things like the existence or origin of burned grass, raindrops and random specks on film.

Examples of good UFO debunking websites include Forgetomori, BadUFOs, and Phil Plait’s Bad Astronomy blog.

April 20, 2011

Hmm - That’s Funny: Niall Smith at Skeptics in the Castle

by Colm

Our latest meeting of Skeptics in the Castle was hosted by Dr. Niall Smith, Head of Research in Cork Institute of Technology and a founding member of Blackrock Castle Observatory. Niall holds a degree in astrophysics and is a superb science communicator.

In a wide-ranging and frequently hilarious talk, Niall spoke about the importance of experimentation to scepticism and science. Niall, a keen Carl Sagan enthusiast (“I hated Carl Sagan because he wrote so well”), spoke about extraordinary claims that no level of testing can pick up and why we can be rightly sceptical of such claims. But he also warned against unbounded skepticism, quoting Lord Kelvin whose scepticism lead him to conclude that x-rays were a hoax and that airplanes were impossible.

His talk then turned to claims that don’t make much sense but where the experimental results were nevertheless unambiguous. A classic example is Wave Particle Duality, where light sometimes acts as a wave, and other times acts as a particle. It’s a mechanism that’s still not fully understood, yet it is verified to an exceedingly high degree of precision by modern science. He also spoke about the age of the universe - how current models cannot yet explain how the universe appears to be larger than expected and how light speed is the same no matter which direction or speed you are moving. All these are challenging results, but experimentally there is no debate - they can be shown to work every single time. They demonstrate that although we know a lot, there is a lot still yet to be understood about the nature of reality. As Niall said “just because you can’t explain it, doesn’t automatically mean you must reject it”.

Niall discussed the possibility of aliens, and wondered why any alien would want to experiment on humans after such a long journey through space - “maybe they’re really smart physicists but really stupid biologists”. He also had some interesting things to say about pseudo-scientific claims - that they rarely told us anything new about the world, whereas scientific discoveries often lead us down new and fascinating paths. Quoting Isaac Azimov, he said that science moves forwards, not through “Eureka” moments, but by someone saying “Hmm, that’s funny”.

Niall’s talk both thought provoking and entertaining, and although the room did heat up a bit, we didn’t find any dragon.

April 10, 2011

There’s a Dragon in my Garage! A talk by Dr. Niall Smith

by Cork Skeptics

I have a dragon in my garage. It’s an amazing fire-breathing, flying, immortal dragon. Amazing—except, of course, I’m the only one who can see it and no experiment that any of my friends devise are capable of detecting the dragon …

In this talk, Dr. Niall Smith will look at the importance of experiments in supporting claims that have been made, and continue to be made, in a wide range of areas, from UFO abductions to the claimed hyper-expansion phase of the early universe. How much should we “believe” claims that appear to defy the laws of the universe as we currently understand them? Are there actually times when the experiments we perform result in outputs that are so bizarre that we’d be right to be skeptical – and yet the experiments are reproducible and apparently true? Niall will demonstrate one such experiment—simple to perform, yet still a mystery after over 150 years of study…

About the speaker: Dr. Niall Smith received his PhD from UCD in the area of astrophysics in 1990. Since then he has maintained an active research group (currently at Blackrock Castle Observatory) that develops new techniques to support research into surveys for extrasolar planets and surveys of quasars (the most powerful continuously-emitting objects in the universe).

Niall is also a founder member of BCO and a passionate believer in the importance of quality science education. He is presently the Head of Research at CIT and chair of the Institute’s Research & Development Committee. Niall has 22 publications in international journals, a book chapter on astrophysical photometry, is a member of the National Committee for Astronomy and Space Science and also the International Astronomical Union.

The talk will begin at 8pm on Friday April 15th, in Blackrock Castle Observatory. Everyone is welcome and the talk is free to attend. Please see our Skeptics In The Castle page for directions to the Castle.

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